The Expat Equation

A Broker's Guide to the 2025 Expat Property Market Shift

The market for Australian expats is vast and holds significant capital.

1M

Australians Living Overseas

This community represents a powerful source of foreign-currency income ready to be invested in property back home.

$4.1B

Economic Contribution

The mortgage broking industry's contribution to the national economy highlights its critical role.

Challenge #1: The Foreign Income Maze

Lenders "shade" foreign income to manage currency risk, directly impacting borrowing power.

What is Income Shading?

It's the practice of discounting income earned in foreign currencies. For example, a lender might only accept 80% of income earned in USD. This is the single biggest factor affecting an expat's borrowing capacity.

The Currency Hierarchy is Key

Lenders classify currencies into tiers. Tier 1 currencies (like USD, GBP, EUR) receive the best treatment (80-100% accepted), while Tier 2 currencies (like AED, ZAR) are shaded more aggressively (60-80% accepted).

Illustrative lender acceptance rates for different currency tiers.

The 2025 FIRB Revolution

A new rule will ban non-resident citizens from buying existing homes, funnelling ALL expat demand into new builds.

Total Expat Buyer Demand

Existing Homes

PURCHASE PROHIBITED

New Builds & Land

PURCHASE PERMITTED

This isn't a restriction; it's a market clarification. The government has created a captive, high-value market for brokers who can facilitate the purchase of new dwellings, off-the-plan properties, and vacant land for construction.

The Opportunity: A New Broker Skillset

Success shifts from finding the best rate to de-risking the entire construction project.

Focus Area Pre-2025 (Existing Homes) Post-2025 (New Builds)
Primary Client Risk Loan rejection Builder insolvency / Cost overruns
Key Relationship Lender BDM Property Developer & Builder
Core Documentation Contract of Sale Fixed-Price Building Contract
Your Value Proposition Finding the best rate De-risking the construction process